Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 1.402215 1.734853 2.169618 2.799236 3.724412 5.101777 7.462122
2025-03-02 1.007629 1.379889 1.950856 2.966280 4.937304 9.255841 22.851014
2025-03-09 0.786059 1.142937 1.747170 2.982809 5.959329 15.362020 84.509491
2025-03-16 0.635324 0.958372 1.540589 2.848714 6.549443 22.761804 474.518161
2025-03-23 0.561201 0.878189 1.487128 3.001258 8.180463 44.714828 NaN
2025-03-30 0.496360 0.797347 1.403109 3.030957 9.561751 86.970563 NaN
2025-04-06 0.438688 0.717452 1.296932 2.943719 10.420781 160.716478 NaN
2025-04-13 0.394444 0.655291 1.213281 2.881903 11.426128 357.029801 NaN
2025-04-20 0.375969 0.640607 1.233888 3.168529 15.556878 8581.248671 NaN
2025-04-27 0.354294 0.615365 1.222191 3.343624 19.950788 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.328589 0.577575 1.169645 3.335267 22.892949 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.302041 0.534504 1.094495 3.197226 23.935059 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.285843 0.512810 1.074249 3.301246 30.080421 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.273673 0.498582 1.071937 3.497287 41.393116 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.258168 0.474748 1.037172 3.514879 50.123544 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.240087 0.442984 0.973413 3.345271 51.332987 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.231814 0.433285 0.973801 3.537350 74.758810 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.221124 0.416621 0.949657 3.574859 95.674687 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.208759 0.394733 0.905502 3.464695 104.310821 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.198097 0.376078 0.868898 3.386835 117.568462 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.195383 0.376595 0.894249 3.749227 255.985852 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.190379 0.370864 0.897930 3.972314 536.255996 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.182660 0.357536 0.873370 3.961638 804.111186 NaN NaN